From Volatility to Clarity
Convert conflicting forecasts into a single, risk-adjusted, IC-ready decision. Compare PaP, shaped, and baseload structures—with and without BESS—ranked by P10/P50/P90 NPV, VaR, and DSCR.
Trusted by leading developers including OX2, RES, AES, Skyborn
Why €50M+ Projects Get Approved Blind—And Fail When Markets Shift
Energy developers are betting massive capital on fragmented tools and static consultant forecasts.
You're betting on Excel + consultant forecasts that assume one scenario
Technical teams model separately from finance teams
Risk analysis happens separately—if at all
You can't optimize design across uncertainty. You can't prove resilience to lenders. You're guessing.
"What if ancillary service prices collapse 40%? What if your PPA structure is wrong? 2 weeks to FID—can you redesign the project?"
Two Products. One Mission: Better Economics, Lower Risk
Risk Studio
Stochastic Valuation for BESS & Hybrid PPAs
Stop betting on single-forecast NPVs. Optimize storage sizing (2hr vs 4hr), model hybrid PPA scenarios, and quantify P50/P90 downside—so you answer every 'what if' question before FID.
Key Outcomes
- →P50/P90 NPV and VaR/cVaR
- →BESS duration optimization
- →Hybrid PPA + merchant revenue stacks
- →Risk attribution (what drives variance?)
- →Mitigation strategies
EIRA
Green H₂ & PtX Project Optimization
Turn scattered H2 development into one auditable flow. Optimize LCOH, compare electrolyzer tech (PEM/ALK), and deliver IC-ready outputs—faster approvals, better economics.
Key Outcomes
- →10-20% LCOH improvement
- →OEM and config comparison
- →Power sourcing optimization
- →Bankable outputs
Trusted by Industry Leaders
See what our clients say about working with Southern Lights
The Southern Lights software provides an intuitive and user-friendly platform for quickly gaining an overview of PtX scenarios focused on hydrogen and e-fuel production.
For deeper analysis, detailed insights are available, and the support team is both responsive and solution-oriented. Development of the software is carried out in close and pragmatic collaboration, ensuring the tool meets our needs.
Kenneth Rosenberg-Brunila
Project Manager at OX2
Trusted by Leading Energy Companies
